Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 4.054559e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.425824e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.994721e-06 0.000004 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000011
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.639428e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.355610e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.120762e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.945517e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.792359e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.613752e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000014 0.000024
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.485767e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000027
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.363886e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000030
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.279150e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000034
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.204806e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000018 0.000039
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.111215e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000019 0.000043
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.039389e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000021 0.000049
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 9.713738e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000010 0.000022 0.000055
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.122390e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000024 0.000061
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.590640e-07 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000025 0.000069
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.189145e-07 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000011 0.000027 0.000078
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.808680e-07 0.000001 0.000003 0.000005 0.000012 0.000029 0.000089
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 7.275615e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000012 0.000030 0.000095
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 6.893845e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000012 0.000032 0.000106
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 6.499612e-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000005 0.000012 0.000033 0.000115